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CBO April 2018 Update #180

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CBO April 2018 Update #180

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352deba
update cbo baseline
andersonfrailey Apr 12, 2018
b0dc57a
page number
andersonfrailey Apr 12, 2018
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186 changes: 92 additions & 94 deletions puf_stage2/notebook/CLP_solver_16Years.ipynb
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24 changes: 12 additions & 12 deletions puf_stage3/puf_ratios.csv
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Expand Up @@ -4,15 +4,15 @@ INT2012,0.763440777504,0.918994815533,0.831211187581,0.813167737413,0.7014193274
INT2013,1.13248967651,0.777873803126,0.779069117444,0.775791376912,0.905210639652,0.873485013186,0.948766878902,0.897571225759,0.837283675736,0.854571960429,0.971180172891,1.01908827709,1.04377052721,1.05409661229,1.07487609906,0.961598483091,1.04121773053,0.960513633894,1.2131854162
INT2014,0.912183909158,0.879242622584,0.851325743899,0.786903718392,0.851849817151,0.87452107583,1.01051432167,0.867204902929,0.832663845048,1.01201506514,0.845006607979,1.04688506692,1.02732324812,0.941504640459,1.08323279943,1.15825164116,1.08255808314,1.05739154208,1.05884052087
INT2015,0.999187796727,0.993217655483,0.990002539147,0.977740213359,0.979185732834,0.982001661933,0.972061252876,0.981880268971,0.983322244424,0.984026649063,1.00578351886,1.01922388486,1.00825702989,0.996484529442,0.994015986114,0.987373508748,0.994440773692,1.01267013363,1.02722347183
INT2016,0.996023831602,0.997017481616,0.963898946063,0.979997233182,0.980347104551,0.979612507641,0.982635801961,0.993164383738,0.980298376387,0.987422530633,0.993388768975,1.03086973515,0.99771731007,0.991269158762,0.989764055952,0.993189475972,1.00399601947,1.00501759977,1.0354948668
INT2017,0.988056043765,0.984570170793,0.965289775264,0.970859548487,0.982983509497,0.971025615751,0.980818580398,0.980513664788,0.978875645651,0.983234949728,1.00480961379,1.0229714953,1.00487803597,0.995034647564,0.988069040069,0.985598239644,0.989300472659,1.04332520543,1.0627026483
INT2018,0.994484274156,0.998144880367,0.987509284036,0.967491559823,0.977104647798,0.980091052092,0.983062729401,0.993711274996,0.980772613176,0.995606749566,1.01257365885,1.01527138322,0.996048702273,0.994751525011,0.994887274819,0.985895174874,0.99432419117,1.02714372365,1.03989341613
INT2019,0.99974926615,0.991452980585,0.977891890741,0.97697349878,0.977559894086,0.980238231728,0.980922838618,0.983271526723,0.984123857951,0.999631769486,1.00820601035,1.00869760212,1.00125305865,0.99291651205,0.992860899926,0.993687503238,1.00141152194,1.02327241802,1.04621894186
INT2020,0.99095372349,0.998018561656,0.978858394153,0.982691229464,0.979364883314,0.983973470727,0.983227422031,0.981966346528,0.986349274892,0.996710064015,1.00729789609,1.01342024656,1.00204176069,0.996955295961,0.999426666308,0.987575983074,0.991105394008,1.02727425628,1.04363553252
INT2021,0.994603297569,1.00163890445,0.974155599988,0.981166247747,0.982554573911,0.980040496318,1.01873039347,0.983016742253,0.998908534734,1.00601341957,0.997912219208,1.00251091274,1.01211861613,0.993918758952,1.00522948444,0.988169351957,1.00149744861,1.00391944857,1.01330589721
INT2022,0.999799954806,0.990537140381,0.987225095242,0.984597780049,0.978612141905,0.981288915147,0.98451208453,0.994536692955,0.991346617365,1.00633278335,1.01157775425,1.00748920105,1.00113456501,0.998736047431,0.99102867703,0.988101144905,0.999261477082,1.00937931756,1.0207187327
INT2023,1.00035066482,0.995888155499,0.988995998618,0.977117069671,0.980428597938,0.986310398738,0.982977018638,0.993690211462,0.990046429032,0.999916204305,1.01474111209,1.00048032693,1.00327353648,1.00064589481,0.990493786772,0.989008808543,1.00776229266,1.01796885459,1.02083659039
INT2024,0.994715474095,0.992677183929,0.986576189878,0.976070410321,0.982646385079,0.983049078466,1.02442753402,0.985453472607,0.992920704982,1.00460805058,1.00123754654,1.00570330104,1.00320353306,0.998139031364,1.00119876471,0.991050340434,1.00055534489,1.02152253701,1.01696899159
INT2025,1.01002616032,0.997287224567,0.975535444222,0.979306658434,0.981460721259,0.977919509994,0.995295054337,1.00233514542,0.997489527492,1.00243344009,1.00836499951,0.9996877024,1.00068595975,1.00345274648,0.99016434594,0.993041202598,0.998999802323,1.0189879535,1.01465582432
INT2026,0.995515455125,0.996075483772,0.980684600825,0.980048782736,0.982525351371,0.982655130899,0.983824519362,0.987325511827,1.00773748444,1.0035655189,1.00300082924,1.00398035865,1.00403856758,0.998076619269,1.00057337113,0.990926033898,1.00839424736,1.01505756769,1.01996922366
INT2027,1.00239975283,1.00579061015,0.979508385219,0.980147780618,0.983752636374,0.986629696223,0.987159480221,1.01533213508,1.00205871712,0.99913349126,0.999178024788,1.00113932811,1.00247418607,1.00063282348,0.997291170331,0.998893596555,1.00828075584,1.00927854602,0.999454076302
INT2016,0.995928258675,0.996921813344,0.963806455662,0.979903198079,0.980253035876,0.979518509454,0.982498706835,0.993287299409,0.980204312388,0.987477932625,0.99332114107,1.03119245448,0.997606147925,0.991172970077,0.989669083679,0.993094175014,1.00389968157,1.00540568533,1.03539151073
INT2017,0.988152310822,0.984666098219,0.965383824186,0.970954140076,0.983079422165,0.971120223521,0.980864512797,0.980393768003,0.978971499265,0.983142659139,1.00490367781,1.02265602292,1.00495456188,0.995219802543,0.988166944544,0.985694267235,0.989396860962,1.04292401291,1.06281028975
INT2018,0.994485447412,0.998134435223,0.987498950189,0.967481435452,0.97709428385,0.980112236567,0.98314501543,0.993700000648,0.980763766361,0.995572062055,1.0125292941,1.01525382751,0.996060087846,0.994862239072,0.994875216503,0.985884857918,0.994306329797,1.02716476948,1.03988272507
INT2019,0.999677265165,0.99142346215,0.977862776059,0.976944411441,0.977530789288,0.98017760339,0.980893633696,0.983253425323,0.984092852471,1.00007994342,1.00818535718,1.00867441266,1.00129047524,0.992680517686,0.992831368773,0.993657918274,1.00138921628,1.02321102602,1.04609409722
INT2020,0.991059911765,0.998095065742,0.978933429498,0.982766558618,0.979437775413,0.984048898172,0.983302792287,0.98203150239,0.986424684366,0.995992624116,1.00737518928,1.01348898046,1.00206570467,0.997030344803,0.999503239198,0.987651686673,0.991181368158,1.02735225317,1.04376248013
INT2021,0.994520701853,1.00145425861,0.974038517602,0.981084664843,0.982475064403,0.979959007019,1.01864428413,0.982547507076,0.998825476578,1.00637226173,0.997845150772,1.00243144084,1.01201725598,0.994650213629,1.00513916433,0.988087186753,1.00141260207,1.00385327239,1.01327558658
INT2022,0.999857515303,0.990675596603,0.987295431425,0.984631454229,0.97864561137,0.98129945141,0.984508166304,0.994962768227,0.991380522361,1.00696230726,1.01106144134,1.00755597665,1.00118342612,0.997952265926,0.991033737284,0.988134938904,0.999147843946,1.00939644484,1.02070495211
INT2023,1.00028698687,0.99588960203,0.989001747625,0.977122749626,0.980434297143,0.986339274593,0.983021617841,0.993694356788,0.990273211351,0.999269086706,1.01528394138,1.00042200882,1.00328832982,1.00070162244,0.990521929596,0.989014557624,1.00791881817,1.01797477201,1.02088219742
INT2024,0.995266002448,0.992663592342,0.986617891616,0.976071826344,0.982647810642,0.983050504613,1.0244290202,0.985456519686,0.992697841004,1.00463826234,1.00124045281,1.00574011332,1.00293957757,0.99809139139,1.00122827299,0.991051778189,1.00055679644,1.02152812411,1.01696715559
INT2025,1.00961273097,0.99735479599,0.975545051793,0.979356277225,0.981510435242,0.977969058502,0.995345476516,1.00238593618,0.997542766663,1.00191753908,1.00841367725,0.999737599937,1.00099540269,1.00350292304,0.990199844564,0.993091517281,0.999032464248,1.01903564445,1.01470721119
INT2026,0.995372488308,0.996071442315,0.980649420845,0.980011827365,0.982490119321,0.98261988023,0.983789233366,0.987289973375,1.00770666077,1.0040132363,1.00297680367,1.00395165525,1.00400965092,0.998080876806,1.00053747769,0.990890486528,1.00837619562,1.01460620288,1.02001688561
INT2027,1.00240379468,1.00572510618,0.980589316899,0.98011883366,0.983721777946,0.986598747547,0.987127645971,1.01530036576,1.00202198771,0.999134723802,0.999132555344,1.00108698889,1.00246976749,1.00056172841,0.997259887226,0.998862263185,1.00824912801,1.00963908102,0.999343773046
2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion puf_stage3/stage3.py
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Expand Up @@ -129,7 +129,7 @@ def adjustment(agi, var, var_name, target, weight, blowup):
# Read all necessary files
puf = pd.read_csv('../puf_data/cps-matched-puf.csv')
targets = pd.read_csv('stage3_targets.csv', index_col=0)
wght = pd.read_csv('../puf_stage2/puf_weights.csv')
wght = pd.read_csv('../puf_stage2/puf_weights.csv.gz')
bf = pd.read_csv('../stage1/growfactors.csv', index_col=0)

# Call adjustment function for each variable being adjusted
Expand Down
28 changes: 14 additions & 14 deletions stage1/CBO_baseline.csv
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@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027
GDP,14718.6,14418.7,14964.4,15517.9,16163.2,16800,17348.1,18036.7,18569.1,19310.3,20117.9,20846.6,21565.5,22377.8,23262.2,24185.9,25149.5,26149.8,27191.3,28272.7
TPY,12429.6,12087.5,12429.3,13202,13887.7,14166.9,14694.2,15458.5,16011.6,16687.9,17450.2,18215.4,18986.1,19819.5,20686.9,21579.5,22509.8,23457.9,24479.1,25534.4
Wages,6531.9,6251.4,6377.5,6633.2,6932.1,7124.7,7477.8,7854.8,8189.2,8567.3,8947.9,9291.7,9616.1,9966,10350.8,10757.8,11180.8,11621.2,12079.7,12557.5
SCHC,979.5,937.5,986.7,1068.1,1187.9,1253.5,1268.5,1336.8,1389.7,1458.5,1507.7,1555,1600.5,1653.4,1714.9,1782.7,1855.2,1931.4,2011.2,2094.7
SCHF,47,35.5,46,75.5,72.3,83.2,78.1,40,27.8,22.8,34.2,44.7,54.3,63.9,71.3,76.4,80.7,84.9,86.9,86.7
INTS,1361.6,1264.3,1195,1231.6,1255.9,1255.2,1302,1302.8,1314.5,1367.3,1428.5,1530.7,1668,1833.8,1981,2113.6,2232.4,2339.2,2451.8,2567.3
DIVS,805.4,553.7,544.6,682.2,832.7,824.5,815.5,951.1,948.4,967.6,1018.1,1061.6,1096,1126.1,1156.6,1188.1,1225,1266,1311.1,1361.3
RENTS,262.1,333.7,402.8,485.3,533,595.8,610.8,659.6,704.7,737.4,757.1,768.9,769.2,770.3,774,779.2,790.3,802.8,819.2,840
CGNS,495.1,263.1,393.6,402.6,644.9,416,561,717,643,714,738,739,758,782,810,840,872,906,942,979
BOOK,1285.1,1397,1746.4,1816.6,2022.8,2106.9,2072.9,2088.1,2085.8,2093.9,2097.9,2117.7,2148.1,2192.6,2252.8,2334.8,2424,2517.1,2619.5,2724.6
RETS,142.5,140.5,142.9,145.4,144.9,146.6,148.3,147.8,149.7,151.7,153.3,155.1,156.7,158.3,159.9,161.4,163,164.6,166.2,167.9
GDP,14718.6,14418.7,14964.4,15517.9,16163.2,16800,17348.1,18036.7,18624.5,19386.8,20361.5,21368.8,22247.2,23078.6,23937.2,24856.8,25832.2,26849.3,27866.5,28957.1
TPY,12429.6,12087.5,12429.3,13202,13887.7,14166.9,14694.2,15458.5,15928.7,16416.9,17283.5,18327.3,19304.4,20206.4,21080.7,21948.5,22865.1,23813.4,24795.1,25806.9
Wages,6531.9,6251.4,6377.5,6633.2,6932.1,7124.7,7477.8,7854.8,8085.3,8339.6,8794.6,9303.6,9759.1,10159.8,10558.8,10972.9,11408.2,11866.8,12336.9,12837.1
SCHC,979.5,937.5,986.7,1068.1,1187.9,1253.5,1268.5,1336.8,1298.7,1350.5,1409.1,1479.5,1540.3,1600.3,1667.2,1742.8,1819.3,1896.3,1971.3,2048.8
SCHF,47,35.5,46,75.5,72.3,83.2,78.1,40,43.2,35.1,34.1,44.8,58.1,70.8,80.7,87.7,93.4,98.5,101,101.1
INTS,1361.6,1264.3,1195,1231.6,1255.9,1255.2,1302,1302.8,1415.3,1475.9,1551.4,1690.7,1864.6,2048.4,2193,2296.8,2373.8,2456.4,2540.1,2637.2
DIVS,805.4,553.7,544.6,682.2,832.7,824.5,815.5,951.1,962.5,965.3,1023.6,1113.3,1180.1,1222.4,1250.1,1272,1298.7,1332.3,1371.8,1424.6
RENTS,262.1,333.7,402.8,485.3,533,595.8,610.8,659.6,707.4,744.5,773.5,784.1,782.3,776.6,771,779.4,806.2,838,869.6,897.5
CGNS,495.1,263.1,393.6,402.6,644.9,416,561,717,637.607,828.347,912.277,954.531,914.233,896.793,896.675,909.374,930.921,958.384,988.727,1023.546
BOOK,1285.1,1397,1746.4,1816.6,2022.8,2106.9,2072.9,2088.1,2073.5,2195.3,2336.8,2431.2,2389.9,2369,2378.7,2434,2519.9,2606.4,2689.8,2794.6
RETS,142.5,140.5,142.9,145.4,144.9,146.6,148.3,147.8,149.7,151.6,153.3,155.1,156.7,158.3,159.9,161.4,163,164.6,166.2,167.8
SOCSEC,503,544.5,572.5,591.5,627.2,663.2,698.2,733.7,762.1,791.3,837.7,898.4,962.7,1027.8,1098,1172.8,1251.8,1333.5,1419.3,1510.6
CPIU,215.3,214.5,218.1,224.9,229.6,233,236.7,237,240,245.4,250.9,256.7,262.8,269.2,275.6,282.2,288.9,295.8,302.9,310.2
CPIM,364.1,375.6,388.4,400.3,414.9,425.1,409.9,414.2,419.8,430.4,435.9,441.7,447.8,454.2,460.6,467.2,473.9,480.8,487.9,495.2
UCOMP,51.1,131.2,138.9,107.2,83.6,62.2,43.8,39.9,31.2,31.1,30.4,32.9,38.9,43.3,46.1,48.5,50.6,52.8,55.1,57
CPIU,215.3,214.5,218.1,224.9,229.6,233,236.7,237,240.006,245.139,250.445,256.006,262.278,268.906,275.597,282.331,289.134,295.987,302.983,310.14
CPIM,364.1,375.6,388.4,400.3,414.9,425.1,409.9,414.2,419.8,430.4,440,445.5,451.8,458.4,465.1,471.9,478.7,485.5,492.5,499.7
UCOMP,51.1,131.2,138.9,107.2,83.6,62.2,43.8,39.9,31.2,31.1,28.7,26.3,28.8,35.1,42.2,45.8,48.9,51.6,54.3,56.4
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