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Add _CTC_new_for_all policy parameter and associated logic #1595

Merged
merged 5 commits into from
Oct 20, 2017
Merged

Add _CTC_new_for_all policy parameter and associated logic #1595

merged 5 commits into from
Oct 20, 2017

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martinholmer
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This pull request attempts to resolve issue #1594.

There are very few filing units with both a negative AGI and children eligible for the child tax credit. This means the difference between setting _CTC_new_for_all to true or false is quite modest. Consider this arbitrary reform in the ctcnew.json reform file:

{"policy": {
    "_CTC_c": {"2013": [0]}, // turn off current-law CTC

    "_CTC_new_c": {"2013": [2000]},
    "_CTC_new_for_all": {"2013": [VALUE]},
    "_CTC_new_rt": {"2013": [9e99]}
}}

When VALUE is false (which is what the hardwired value is on the master branch), we get the following results:

$ tc puf.csv 2017 --reform ctcnew.json --tables
$ cat puf-17-ctcnew-#.tab.text
Weighted Tax Reform Totals by Baseline Expanded-Income Decile
    Returns    ExpInc    IncTax    PayTax     LSTax    AllTax
       (#m)      ($b)      ($b)      ($b)      ($b)      ($b)
 0    17.00    -119.4      -5.5       6.4       0.0       1.0
 1    17.00     152.4     -18.3      14.4       0.0      -3.8
 2    17.01     273.9     -33.1      24.5       0.0      -8.6
 3    17.00     400.6     -25.0      35.8       0.0      10.8
 4    17.01     558.3      -8.3      52.6       0.0      44.3
 5    17.01     754.0      19.5      72.0       0.0      91.5
 6    17.01    1008.8      54.6      97.0       0.0     151.5
 7    17.00    1379.3     108.4     143.2       0.0     251.6
 8    17.01    2054.4     202.5     233.3       0.0     435.8
 9    17.01    6272.4    1315.8     413.3       0.0    1729.1
 A   170.05   12734.6    1610.6    1092.6       0.0    2703.3

Weighted Tax Differences by Baseline Expanded-Income Decile
    Returns    ExpInc    IncTax    PayTax     LSTax    AllTax
       (#m)      ($b)      ($b)      ($b)      ($b)      ($b)
 0    17.00    -119.4      -2.9       0.0       0.0      -2.9
 1    17.00     152.4      -6.1       0.0       0.0      -6.1
 2    17.01     273.9      -8.2       0.0       0.0      -8.2
 3    17.00     400.6      -7.7       0.0       0.0      -7.7
 4    17.01     558.3      -7.4       0.0       0.0      -7.4
 5    17.01     754.0      -6.9       0.0       0.0      -6.9
 6    17.01    1008.8      -6.4       0.0       0.0      -6.4
 7    17.00    1379.3      -7.6       0.0       0.0      -7.6
 8    17.01    2054.4     -12.5       0.0       0.0     -12.5
 9    17.01    6272.4     -23.6       0.0       0.0     -23.6
 A   170.05   12734.6     -89.4       0.0       0.0     -89.4

The above results are exactly the same as on the master branch, which is what is expected.

When VALUE is true, we get the following results:

$ tc puf.csv 2017 --reform ctcnew.json --tables
$ cat puf-17-ctcnew-#.tab.text
Weighted Tax Reform Totals by Baseline Expanded-Income Decile
    Returns    ExpInc    IncTax    PayTax     LSTax    AllTax
       (#m)      ($b)      ($b)      ($b)      ($b)      ($b)
 0    17.00    -119.4      -6.5       6.4       0.0      -0.1
 1    17.00     152.4     -18.3      14.4       0.0      -3.9
 2    17.01     273.9     -33.2      24.5       0.0      -8.6
 3    17.00     400.6     -25.0      35.8       0.0      10.8
 4    17.01     558.3      -8.3      52.6       0.0      44.3
 5    17.01     754.0      19.5      72.0       0.0      91.5
 6    17.01    1008.8      54.6      97.0       0.0     151.5
 7    17.00    1379.3     108.4     143.2       0.0     251.6
 8    17.01    2054.4     202.5     233.3       0.0     435.8
 9    17.01    6272.4    1315.8     413.3       0.0    1729.1
 A   170.05   12734.6    1609.5    1092.6       0.0    2702.1

Weighted Tax Differences by Baseline Expanded-Income Decile
    Returns    ExpInc    IncTax    PayTax     LSTax    AllTax
       (#m)      ($b)      ($b)      ($b)      ($b)      ($b)
 0    17.00    -119.4      -4.0       0.0       0.0      -4.0
 1    17.00     152.4      -6.1       0.0       0.0      -6.1
 2    17.01     273.9      -8.3       0.0       0.0      -8.3
 3    17.00     400.6      -7.7       0.0       0.0      -7.7
 4    17.01     558.3      -7.4       0.0       0.0      -7.4
 5    17.01     754.0      -6.9       0.0       0.0      -6.9
 6    17.01    1008.8      -6.4       0.0       0.0      -6.4
 7    17.00    1379.3      -7.6       0.0       0.0      -7.6
 8    17.01    2054.4     -12.5       0.0       0.0     -12.5
 9    17.01    6272.4     -23.6       0.0       0.0     -23.6
 A   170.05   12734.6     -90.5       0.0       0.0     -90.5

The difference in aggregate tax liability is only $1.1 billion.

@MattHJensen @andersonfrailey @evtedeschi3

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codecov-io commented Oct 20, 2017

Codecov Report

Merging #1595 into master will not change coverage.
The diff coverage is n/a.

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@@          Coverage Diff           @@
##           master   #1595   +/-   ##
======================================
  Coverage     100%    100%           
======================================
  Files          37      37           
  Lines        2743    2743           
======================================
  Hits         2743    2743

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@martinholmer
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@andersonfrailey, I haven't gotten any feedback from @evtedeschi3 on the changes in pull request #1595.
Do you think these changes provide the capability he was asking for in issue #1594?

@ernietedeschi
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ernietedeschi commented Oct 20, 2017 via email

@martinholmer
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@evtedeschi3 said:

Apologies, I’ve been slammed all day and haven’t had time to test out. My perusal of your followups suggest that yes, this addresses exactly what I asked. Anderson do you agree?

No need for apologies, we're all very busy. Unless I hear some concerns from @andersonfrailey, we'll add these changes to Tax-Calculator release 0.12.0, which is imminent.

@MattHJensen
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The implementation looks good to me. Thanks @martinholmer for the contribution and thanks to @evtedeschi3 for the feature request and review.

@martinholmer martinholmer merged commit f166833 into PSLmodels:master Oct 20, 2017
@martinholmer martinholmer deleted the new-ctc-for-all branch October 20, 2017 19:24
@ernietedeschi
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ernietedeschi commented Oct 21, 2017 via email

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4 participants