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[Advanced Regression] Predicting the sales price for houses in Ames, Iowa

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Housing Price Prediction

Johnny Yiu

Goal

The goal is to predict the sales price for each house. With 79 explanatory variables describing almost every aspect of residential homes in Ames, Iowa, we hope to accurately predict the sales price with creative feature engineering and advanced regression techniques.

Data

The Ames Housing dataset was compiled by Dean De Cock, which is an alternative to the often cited Boston Housing dataset.

Model

We evaluate the performance of 9 different models (lasso, elasticnet, ridge, svr, gradient boosting, random forest, xgboost, lightgbm, catboost regressors) by their Root-Mean-Squared-Error (RMSE) using a 10-fold cross validation. We then trained a meta StackingCVRegressor with 8 of the models (excluding random forest) and optimized using lasso. The final prediction will be an ensembled predictions from the models to prevent overfitting. Our final score is an good RMSE of 0.11525.

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