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SIP Analysis: Date vs. Daily Investment Strategies in Sensex-Based Mutual Funds

Welcome to the SIP (Systematic Investment Plan) Analysis repository! This project explores the differences in returns when an investor chooses to invest a fixed amount on a particular date each month versus distributing the investment equally across all market days in that month. The analysis covers historical data for the last 10 years, focusing on two primary examples: a 10-year period and a 5-year period.

Project Overview

This repository contains Python code, written with assistance from ChatGPT, to compare investment strategies:

  1. Fixed Date Investment: Investing ₹30,000 on a specific date of the month.
  2. Daily Investment: Investing an equal amount daily whenever the market is open, such that the total investment in the month sums up to ₹30,000.

The analysis answers questions like:

  • Which date of the month historically yields the best returns?
  • How does daily investment compare to monthly investments on specific dates?
  • And how much is the difference between the best & worst case scenario?

Key Features

  • Historical Analysis: Compare investment strategies over different periods, with a focus on 10-year and 5-year intervals.
  • Return Comparison: Visualize the differences in returns between fixed date investments and daily investments.
  • Customizable: Users can set any start date within the last 10 years to run their own comparisons.
  • Simplicity: Assumptions are made to avoid unnecessary complexity, such as ignoring expense ratios, while maintaining fairness across comparisons.

Results Summary

10-Year Analysis (Jan 2015 - Oct 2024)

Strategy Total Investment (₹) Best Return (₹) Worst Return (₹) Daily Average Return (₹)
Investing on Best Date (11th of the Month) 35,40,000 76,00,192
Investing on Worst Date (28th of the Month) 35,40,000 75,61,200
Daily Investment 35,40,000 75,82,791

Conclusion: Over nearly 10 years, the difference in returns between the best and worst dates was less than ₹40,000. This suggests that while some dates perform slightly better, a daily investment strategy yields a return that is neither the best nor the worst. The marginal difference indicates that SIP on a particular date is a reliable strategy, but for those willing to manage the effort, daily investments can slightly optimize returns.

5-Year Analysis (Sept 2018 - Oct 2024)

Strategy Total Investment (₹) Best Return (₹) Worst Return (₹) Daily Average Return (₹)
Investing on Best Date (1st of the Month) 18,00,000 28,76,522
Investing on Worst Date (9th of the Month) 18,00,000 28,44,642
Daily Investment 18,00,000 28,54,534

Conclusion: Over 5 years, the difference in returns between the best and worst dates was less than ₹22,000. The daily investment strategy again falls between the best and worst, proving to be a solid alternative for those looking to spread their investment risk over the month.

Assumptions

  1. Holiday Adjustments: If the chosen date for monthly investment falls on a market holiday, the investment is made on the next open market day.
  2. No Expense Ratios Considered: Expense ratios and other fees are ignored to focus on pure return comparisons.
  3. Equal Monthly Investment: In the daily investment strategy, the total investment remains the same across all comparisons, ensuring fairness.

Try It Yourself

You can experiment with different start dates within the last 10 years to analyze how the strategies would have performed in those periods. The code is fully customizable and allows for in-depth comparisons.

Data (30,000 monthly investment)

10 year (9 year 10 month) comparision data

File Name Total Invested Acquired Value Return %
Monthly on 11th 3540000.0 7600192.5124782985 114.69470374232482
Monthly on 12th 3540000.0 7600113.627764122 114.69247536056841
Monthly on 24th 3540000.0 7599207.215813664 114.66687050321083
Monthly on 7th 3540000.0 7598944.331352869 114.65944438849913
Monthly on 6th 3540000.0 7596022.288395225 114.576900802125
Monthly on 22th 3540000.0 7595489.943283245 114.56186280461144
Monthly on 23th 3540000.0 7593587.84748658 114.50813128493164
Monthly on 8th 3540000.0 7592468.601800423 114.4765141751532
Monthly on 1th 3540000.0 7592440.381636972 114.47571699539469
Monthly on 14th 3540000.0 7590378.8218131 114.41748084217797
Monthly on 2th 3540000.0 7590351.021560917 114.41669552431969
Monthly on 21th 3540000.0 7590341.93416433 114.41643881820143
Monthly on 3th 3540000.0 7589718.0274345735 114.39881433430999
Monthly on 10th 3540000.0 7586903.03665268 114.31929482069717
Monthly on 5th 3540000.0 7586259.11531217 114.3011049523212
Monthly on 15th 3540000.0 7586012.375406837 114.29413489849821
Monthly on 25th 3540000.0 7585559.602961378 114.2813447164231
Monthly on 4th 3540000.0 7585299.906089456 114.27400864659481
Monthly on 13th 3540000.0 7585049.859302525 114.26694517803745
Monthly on 19th 3540000.0 7584562.48053697 114.2531774162986
Monthly on 16th 3540000.0 7583668.912069729 114.22793536920136
Monthly on 9th 3540000.0 7583010.651550839 114.20934043928924
Daily - open market 3539999.999999977 7582791.05787751 114.20313722817963
Monthly on 18th 3540000.0 7579308.634427364 114.10476368438881
Monthly on 26th 3540000.0 7577619.297979738 114.0570423158118
Monthly on 17th 3540000.0 7575091.638203922 113.98563949728593
Monthly on 20th 3540000.0 7574148.170823956 113.95898787638293
Monthly on 27th 3540000.0 7563549.334904103 113.65958573175432
Monthly on 28th 3540000.0 7561199.724543092 113.59321255771445

5 year comparision data

File Name Total Invested Acquired Value Return %
Monthly on 1th 1800000.0 2876522.1511211935 59.80678617339964
Monthly on 2th 1800000.0 2871416.281276933 59.523126737607384
Monthly on 3th 1800000.0 2868641.9861099278 59.36899922832932
Monthly on 22th 1800000.0 2867443.862121279 59.3024367845155
Monthly on 24th 1800000.0 2866945.9493519827 59.274774963999036
Monthly on 21th 1800000.0 2866457.5602466324 59.24764223592402
Monthly on 19th 1800000.0 2866144.3133323193 59.23023962957329
Monthly on 23th 1800000.0 2863986.2804442593 59.110348913569965
Monthly on 25th 1800000.0 2860244.329480284 58.90246274890466
Monthly on 4th 1800000.0 2860199.449331847 58.89996940732483
Monthly on 18th 1800000.0 2858770.026731574 58.820557040642996
Monthly on 5th 1800000.0 2858010.92746921 58.77838485940054
Monthly on 20th 1800000.0 2856567.6114901486 58.69820063834159
Monthly on 14th 1800000.0 2856432.095400741 58.690671966707825
Monthly on 6th 1800000.0 2855024.934278676 58.61249634881532
Daily - open market 1799999.999999961 2854534.240470263 58.585235581684735
Monthly on 12th 1800000.0 2854387.4288096605 58.57707937831447
Monthly on 7th 1800000.0 2854287.400911756 58.57152227287533
Monthly on 16th 1800000.0 2854277.5944054704 58.57097746697058
Monthly on 15th 1800000.0 2854110.8804784063 58.56171558213368
Monthly on 17th 1800000.0 2854011.3309664223 58.55618505369013
Monthly on 26th 1800000.0 2853838.562890989 58.54658682727715
Monthly on 8th 1800000.0 2851219.8125647497 58.40110069804165
Monthly on 11th 1800000.0 2847967.44722783 58.22041373487944
Monthly on 13th 1800000.0 2847472.6560181133 58.19292533433962
Monthly on 28th 1800000.0 2847061.0312864343 58.17005729369079
Monthly on 27th 1800000.0 2846230.80869606 58.12393381644778
Monthly on 10th 1800000.0 2845824.063575301 58.10133686529449
Monthly on 9th 1800000.0 2844642.615082568 58.03570083792045

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