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Improve CO2 accounting in exporter #52

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@lindnemi lindnemi commented Mar 4, 2025

The CO2 balance in the Ariadne DB does not cancel out exactly. While there are many minor discrepancies between IAM accounting and our accounting, this PR fixes a major one: CCS from e-fuels had not been correctly accounted so far.

This PR:

  • subtracts: efuel -> naptha -> process emissions from CO2|Industrial Processes

  • adds: efuel -> naptha -> process emissions -> CC to Sequestration|Other

  • adds: efuel -> CC to Sequestration|Other

Open points:

  • efuel -> CC should be corrected with oil_fossil_fraction
  • small refactor to use co2_stored more consistently for above causes
  • add back in the asserts that were disabled to get to exports faster
  • Are fossil CC really treated as neutral, or is there more that should be subtracted?
  • Figure out remaining difference of 5-10 Mt compared to Ariade accounting, to get to an equal CO2 balance
  • Consider Carbon Sequestration in Emissions|CO2 (as well as FOLU?)

Before asking for a review for this PR make sure to complete the following checklist:

  • Workflow with target rule ariadne_all completes without errors
  • The logic of export_ariadne_variables has been adapted to the changes
  • One or several figures that validate the changes in the PR have been posted as a comment
  • A brief description of the changes has been added to Changelog.md
  • The latest main has been merged into the PR
  • The config has a new prefix of the format YYYYMMDDdescriptive_title

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