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Releases: ForecastHealth/ncd-risk-factors-physical-inactivity

0.1.0 Alpha Release of Physical Inactivity Models

03 Jul 05:34
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Physical Inactivity Model Release

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Releasing two models about physical inactivity

  • Awareness Raising
  • Advice

Mechanically, these work the same way, which will be explained in detail in the README.
Qualitative examination of results looks sensible.
Much greater testing is needed.

Full Changelog: 0.0.3...0.1.0

0.0.3 - Cleaned up README, Data and Scripts

02 Jul 07:13
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Cleaned up readme

The README is more approachable

Cleaned up data

The data contains the raw data only

Cleaned up scripts

The scripts operate on the raw data and produce output in tmp/
The scripts can be run by a bash script in root

Full Changelog: 0.0.2...0.0.3

Physical Inactivity Model - Draft

22 May 04:40
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Pre-release

Physical Inactivity Risk Factor - Draft Model

This model works as follows (using the example of Physical Inactivity impacting on one disease e.g. Stroke)

  • Baseline (at T0) PAF (population attributable fraction) is determined by prevalence of the risk factor, and relative risk of the risk factor on the disease
  • Current (at T1->N) PAF is also determined by the prevalence of the risk factor and the relative risk of the risk factor.
    • However, prevalence is modified by interventions on that risk factor
    • The effect of the intervention is governed by the difference between the baseline coverage and target coverage, and the effect size of the intervention
  • The difference between the baseline PAF and the current PAF determines the impact on the state transition model, typically at the level of modifying the incidence rate.

Full Changelog: 0.0.1...0.0.2

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