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index.Rmd
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---
title : Project Proposal
subtitle :
author : Clarence Dillon
job : CSS739 Conflict Models
framework : revealjs # {io2012, html5slides, shower, dzslides, ...}
revealjs :
theme: simple # {sky, beige, simple, serif, night, default, solarized, moon}
transition: linear # {none, page, concave, zoom, linear, fade, default}
highlighter : highlight.js # {highlight.js, prettify, highlight}
hitheme : tomorrow #
widgets : [mathjax] # {mathjax, quiz, bootstrap}
mode : selfcontained # {standalone, draft}
knit : slidify::knit2slides
---
### Project Proposal
</br>
* * * *
Viewing Conflict Attributes from a World-Systems Perspective
* * * *
</br>
</br>
<small>
[CW Dillon](http://www.css.gmu.edu/?q=node/15)
for _Conflict Models_, CSS739
Fall 2014
George Mason University
</small>
*** =pnotes
I am a PhD student in the Department of Computational Social Sciences, at the Krasnow Institute for Advanced Studies. We focus our research on understanding complex adaptive social systems from a behavioral (even cognitive) perspective. This seminar, by Dr. Claudio Cioffi-Revilla focuses on models of conflict: statistical models, games and decision models, dynamic models and agent-based models, for example.
--- .class #id
### Getting More from War Data
* Correlates of War (COW) data is some of the most comprehensive data about conflicts
- curated, reviewed, validated
- covers the period 1820-current
* Analysis of COW data has been mostly via regression models
--- &vertical
### World-Systems Analysis
* Quantitative approach to world history
* Divides the international political economy worlds:
- core ( $1^{st}$ world)
- semi-periphery ( $2^{nd}$ world)
- periphery ( $3^{rd}$ world)
* Often applied in conjunction with ``dependence theory'' to explain differing development rates around the world
***
### World-Systems and Conflict
* Dependence theory interprets world-systems analysis as evidence of global class struggles, ala Marx
- core exploits the periphery
- chains of economic development
* Root cause of conflict is undefended wealth
***
### Scholarship
* Immanuel Wallerstein
- First published on world-systems analysis in 1974
- _Origins of the European World-Economy in the Sixteenth Century_
- multi-cultural territorial division of labor
* Frank & Gills
- anthropoligists
- widened concept to study development patterns back to Mesopotamia
***
### Data
* COW data easily had
* COW Trade data is incomplete, several inconsistencies
* No (current) world-system network data
- Norbum 1900-1960
- Text of Michael Haas 1968 World Hierarchies data
- Gravity data for war-trade relationships (Ward, et al 2013)
***
### World Trade Data
* Cross-National Time Series Data Archive: CNTS (Banks 1968)
* Maddison Historical Statistics (Maddison 2013)
* Other incomplete sets:
- World Trade Organization
- Economics Web Institute
--- &vertical
### Project
* Build on the structural interpretation of world-systems analyis
- Haas
- Russett
* Review previous methods of analysing conflict
- Richardson
- Cioffi-Revilla
* Expand the utility of COW
- Spatial
- Structural
---
## Status
* Still building annual networks 1870-2009
- Chase-Dunn _openness_ measure: ${imports} / {per capita GDP}$
- Barbieri (COW) trade + Maddison _per capita_ GDP
- MPP imputation for Maddison data
* Undecided on some metrics
- UCINET/SNA core-periphery _vs_ igraph ``coreness''
- 3 x 3 (core, semi-per, periphery) _vs_ 2 x 2