diff --git a/examples/tutorials/gridded_forecast_evaluation.py b/examples/tutorials/gridded_forecast_evaluation.py index 641f859a..eb72827e 100644 --- a/examples/tutorials/gridded_forecast_evaluation.py +++ b/examples/tutorials/gridded_forecast_evaluation.py @@ -108,15 +108,14 @@ #################################################################################################################################### # Plot ROC Curves -# ----------------------- +# --------------- # # We can also plot the Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) Curves based on forecast and testing-catalog. -# In the figure below, False Positive Rate is the normalized cumulative forecast rate, after sorting cells in decreasing order of rate. -# The "True Positive Rate" is the normalized cumulative area. The dashed line is the ROC curve for a uniform forecast, -# meaning the likelihood for an earthquake to occur at any position is the same. The further the ROC curve of a -# forecast is to the uniform forecast, the specific the forecast is. When comparing the -# forecast ROC curve against an catalog, one can evaluate if the forecast is more or less specific -# (or smooth) at different level or seismic rate. +# In the figure below, True Positive Rate is the normalized cumulative forecast rate, after sorting cells in decreasing order of rate. +# The “False Positive Rate” is the normalized cumulative area. +# The dashed line is the ROC curve for a uniform forecast, meaning the likelihood for an earthquake to occur at any position is the same. +# The further the ROC curve of a forecast is to the uniform forecast, the specific the forecast is. +# When comparing the forecast ROC curve against a catalog, one can evaluate if the forecast is more or less specific (or smooth) at different level or seismic rate. # # Note: This figure just shows an example of plotting an ROC curve with a catalog forecast.